Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.000986 0.001023 0.001062 0.001104 0.001149 0.001195 0.001247
2025-09-21 0.000910 0.000965 0.001022 0.001087 0.001159 0.001236 0.001325
2025-09-28 0.000858 0.000925 0.000996 0.001080 0.001175 0.001280 0.001408
2025-10-05 0.000797 0.000869 0.000949 0.001043 0.001153 0.001279 0.001435
2025-10-12 0.000766 0.000845 0.000933 0.001040 0.001168 0.001317 0.001509
2025-10-19 0.000740 0.000823 0.000919 0.001037 0.001181 0.001354 0.001581
2025-10-26 0.000714 0.000801 0.000902 0.001029 0.001186 0.001379 0.001640
2025-11-02 0.000696 0.000787 0.000894 0.001030 0.001203 0.001418 0.001717
2025-11-09 0.000673 0.000767 0.000877 0.001020 0.001203 0.001436 0.001766
2025-11-16 0.000653 0.000748 0.000861 0.001009 0.001202 0.001451 0.001812
2025-11-23 0.000647 0.000746 0.000865 0.001024 0.001234 0.001511 0.001923
2025-11-30 0.000636 0.000737 0.000861 0.001027 0.001250 0.001550 0.002007
2025-12-07 0.000619 0.000721 0.000847 0.001017 0.001249 0.001565 0.002057
2025-12-14 0.000600 0.000703 0.000829 0.001002 0.001240 0.001570 0.002092
2025-12-21 0.000587 0.000690 0.000819 0.000996 0.001243 0.001590 0.002151
2025-12-28 0.000563 0.000664 0.000789 0.000964 0.001208 0.001554 0.002119
2026-01-04 0.000553 0.000654 0.000782 0.000961 0.001214 0.001578 0.002186
2026-01-11 0.000543 0.000646 0.000775 0.000958 0.001220 0.001604 0.002255
2026-01-18 0.000532 0.000635 0.000765 0.000951 0.001220 0.001617 0.002305
2026-01-25 0.000525 0.000629 0.000762 0.000952 0.001231 0.001650 0.002391
2026-02-01 0.000515 0.000618 0.000751 0.000943 0.001227 0.001657 0.002432
2026-02-08 0.000504 0.000607 0.000740 0.000934 0.001222 0.001663 0.002471
2026-02-15 0.000503 0.000608 0.000745 0.000947 0.001251 0.001726 0.002618